Muskoka Cottage Market Watch – Jan-Apr ’17

– January-April, 2017
An in-depth look at the Muskoka real estate numbers by the Gardiner Team

Number of Listings and Sales

Unit Sales Volume – Summary of Waterfront Cottage MLS® Listings and Sales for the past 2 years, and this year to date as compared to last year to date, by area as reported by The Lakelands Association of REALTORS® and The Parry Sound & Area Association of REALTORS®.

 

Sales by Price Range

Summary of Waterfront Cottage MLS® Listings and Sales for the past 2 years, and this year to date as compared to last year to date, by area and price range as reported by The Lakelands Association of REALTORS® and The Parry Sound & Area Association of REALTORS®.

Muskoka Waterfront Cottage Sales by Year and Price Range

As reported by The Lakelands Association of REALTORS® and The Parry Sound & Area Association of REALTORS®.

 

Real Estate Market Report | Muskoka, January – March, 2017

Chestnut Park News

APRIL 18, 2017
Muskoka Real Estate Update

 

As 2016 came to an end, the concern in the Muskoka and area recreational market place could be summed up in one word: supply. The lack of supply has become dramatically obvious in the first three months of 2017. Generally supply is limited during the early months of any year. Weather conditions, inability to access properties, and the disinterest of buyers usually means that recreational properties are not brought to market until April or even later. This report acknowledges that market phenomenon, and is simply comparing what was happening in 2016 against the first three months of 2017.

 

The Muskoka-Haliburton Realtor Association reports that during the first three months of 2017 it processed 1815 listings of all types. This is a decline of 15 percent compared to 2131 listings that were submitted by local realtors during the same period in 2016. The decline in recreational inventory is even more startling. At the end of March the Association reported 439 active recreational property listings, a decline of more than 40 percent compared to the 751 recreational property listings on the market last year.

 

The situation is even more dramatic in 2 of the three market places in which Chestnut Park’s agents are active. On Muskoka’s big lakes (Rosseau, Joe, and Muskoka) there were only 103 active listings at the end of March, a decline of almost 50 percent compared to the 200 active listings available to buyers last year. The situation in the Haliburton Highlands is no different. Last year there were 193 active listings, this year only 103, a decline of 47 percent. Although listings are down in Lake of Bays the decline is not as extreme as in Muskoka’s big lakes and the Haliburton Highlands. This year there were 59 active listings, last year 83, comparatively a moderate decline of 30 percent.

 

At this stage of the year we have limited recreational property sales data. What we do have does not indicate that there is a corresponding decline in demand. The Association reports that 101 recreational properties have been reported sold year-to-date, an increase of 15 percent compared to the 88 reported sold last year. On the big lakes there has been a marginal increase in sales: 21 this year compared to 19 last year. Sales activity in the Haliburton Highlands is marginally down: 27 last year, 25 this year. Only Lake of Bays has shown an appreciable increase in sales, although the actual numbers are small: 12 reported sales this year compared to 9 last year, an increase of 30 percent.

 

During the first three months of 2017 Chestnut Park’s agents were responsible for 25 recreational property sales, representing $27,875,500 in dollar volume. This result is our highest number of reported sales during this period in the year, and by far the highest dollar volume ever achieved. These numbers also demonstrate that demand remains strong. The next best year for sales was in 2012 and for dollar volume it was last year.

What to expect:

Unless something dramatic happens we can anticipate a very tight recreational market as 2017 continues to unfold. As forecast in the year-end report, we will begin to see competition for well priced, desirable properties.

 

That competition will not amount to the frenzied activity that has become the norm in urban environments like Toronto, but multiple offers will not be uncommon. This is brought out by the fact that agents have already experienced the multiple offer phenomenon on new listings and when acting for buyers.

 

The unknown factor that may have an impact on the Muskoka real estate market place will be the provincial government’s reaction to the runaway prices for properties in Toronto and area. The prevailing belief is that foreign investors and speculation are fuelling price increases. Legislation by the provincial government in either or both of these areas could have a cooling effect on recreational markets, even if the effect is due to a wait-and-see stance by buyers. Unfortunately by the time the impact of the tax is absorbed by consumers, the major part of the recreational selling season will be at an end. It is anticipated that the province will move to deal with exorbitantly rising prices in Toronto and area by late April or May.

 

Prepared by:Chris Kapches, LLB, President and CEO, Broker

 

 

Waterfront sales “Best year-to-date”

Sales of waterfront properties recorded through the MLS® system of Muskoka Haliburton Orillia – The Lakelands Association of REALTORS®, declined by 14 per cent in October 2016, albeit from a record last October.

On a year-to-date basis waterfront sales were still up 11.8 per cent from the first nine months of 2015. This was the best first 10 months to any year on record.

 

“While waterfront property sales took a step down from last October they are still very strong, with much of that year-over-year decline simply reflecting the white hot pace of sales at this time last year when there were still many more properties for sale on the market,” said Mike Taylor, President of Muskoka Haliburton Orillia – The Lakelands Association of REALTORS®. “Having said all that, the bigger picture is that 2016 will, in all likelihood, be the best year ever for sales in the Lakelands region.”

The median price for residential non-waterfront property sales was $250,000 in October 2016, up 9.6 per cent from October 2015. On a year-to-date basis the median price was running at $255,000, up 8.5 per cent from the first 10 months of 2015.

The median price for waterfront sales in October 2016 showed an increase of 13 per cent from October 2015. On a year-to-date basis the median price for waterfront property sales was up 9.5 per cent from the first 10 months of 2015.

The total value of waterfront sales was $101 million, an increase of 16.8 per cent from October of last year. This was the highest level for October on record and marked the first time volumes had ever surpassed $100 million in this month.

Includes transactions in all areas recorded by Muskoka Haliburton Orillia – The Lakelands Association of REALTORS®

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Important information The area served by the more than 680 REALTORS® who belong to Muskoka Haliburton Orillia – The Lakelands Association of REALTORS® serving Muskoka, Haliburton and Orillia, is located less than a two-hour drive north of Toronto, in the heart of Canada’s Cottage Country. There are several major geographical areas within the Association’s boundaries, including the City of Orillia, Gravenhurst, Bracebridge, Muskoka Lakes, Huntsville, Almaguin Highlands, Lake of Bays and Haliburton. Each of these areas has a unique blend of properties ranging from residential homes in the City of Orillia and smaller towns to the rural areas in-between, as well as a mix of waterfront homes/cottages on the many rivers and lakes throughout our regions that range from the smaller entry level properties to the prestigious.